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Ethiopian Airlines’ Infinite Intra-African Network Analyzed

Ethiopian Airlines had up to 68 international passenger flights across Africa departing from its Addis Ababa (ADD) hub on some days this summer, however the average is 64 daily as of January 27th. Data from the OAG indicates that it has never had as many as 68. The Star Alliance member’s increased aircraft capacity on numerous routes and delinking of specific African destinations have contributed to its record-breaking number. Here is its full-day international intra-Africa itinerary for a randomly chosen July 21, 2023, so you can see how it works.

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The best way of thinking about these four flights is that they are effectively, if not actually, the last of the departures across Africa from the day before. They fit into that departure bank. They are all relatively close to Addis and arrive back in ADD at 04:45-07:30, mainly enabling passengers to connect elsewhere in Africa and to the Middle East and China.

July 21st: midnight to 07:59

00:10: ET827, Dar es Salaam; 737-800

01:00: ET366, Djibouti; 737-700

01:00: ET316, Asmara; 737-700

01:10: ET343, Khartoum; 737-800

July 21st: busiest period, part one

Fed by flights from across North America, Europe, Middle East, Asia, and other parts of Africa, 08:00-11:30 is Ethiopian Airlines’ primary intra-Africa departure bank of the day. It has 45 departures or over two-thirds of its total. Over half (56%) are by widebodies, such is the passenger and freight demand at this time. It is also a good way of increasing the utilization of widebodies in-between long-haul intercontinental services, especially for the newer types.

To make it more digestible, I’ve broken them into two parts: 08:00-09:15 and 09:16-11:30. Here’s the first:

​​​​​​08:00: ET318, Nairobi; 737 MAX 8

08:30: ET829, Victoria Falls (continues to Bulawayo); 737 MAX 8

08:30: ET332, Entebbe; 737 MAX 8

08:35: ET835, Windhoek; 787-9

08:35: ET835, Gaborone; 737 MAX 8

08:40: ET809, Johannesburg; A350-900

08:40: ET931, Enugu; 737 MAX 8

08:40: ET917, Cotonou; 737 MAX 8

08:40: ET921, Accra; A350-900

08:45: ET508, Lomé (continues to Newark); 787-8

08:45: ET861, Brazzaville (continues to Pointe-Noire); 787-8

08:50: ET853, Antananarivo; 777-200LR

08:55: ET819, Maputo; 787-9

08:55: ET376, Mogadishu; 737-800

08:55: ET352, Juba; 737-700

09:00: ET322, Mombasa; 737-800

09:00: ET901, Lagos; 777-300ER

09:00: ET925, Libreville (continues to Yaoundé); 787-9

09:00: ET913, Douala (continues to Malabo); 787-8

09:00: ET847, Cape Town; A350-900

09:05: ET875, Ndola (continues to Blantyre); 737 MAX 8

09:15: ET368, Garowe (continues to Bosaso); Dash-8-Q400

July 21st: busiest period, part two

Most flights that leave 08:00-11:30 arrive back in Addis Ababa in the late evening, feeding services going to North America, Europe, Middle East, Asia, and other parts of Africa. However, the longest to West Africa (e.g., to Bamako and onto Dakar), shown in this ‘part two,’ remain overnight to return the next day to feed the critical intercontinental flights. In contrast, the shorter routes return in the afternoon, helping to beef up Ethiopian Airlines’ developing third wave.

Here’s the second part of the busiest period:

09:20: ET951, Abuja; A350-900

09:25: ET863, Lusaka; A350-900

09:25: ET873, Harare; A350-900

09:30: ET879, Seychelles; 737 MAX 8

09:30: ET362, Djibouti; 737-700

09:30: ET372, Hargeisa; 737-800

09:40: ET851, Luanda; 777-200LR

09:45: ET344, Khartoum; 737-800

09:50: ET877, Lilongwe; 787-8

09:50: ET312, Asmara; 737-800

10:00: ET825, Moroni; A350-900

10:00: ET841, Kinshasa; A350-900

10:05: ET939; N’Djamena; MAX 8

10:20: ET813, Zanzibar; A350-900

10:30: ET937, Niamey (continues to Ouagadougou); 787-8

10:35: ET815, Kilimanjaro; A350-900

10:35: ET935, Abidjan (continues to Conakry; 787-8

10:40: ET909, Bamako (continues to Dakar); 787-9

10:45: ET831, Goma; 737-700

10:45: ET805, Dar es Salaam; 737 MAX 8

10:50: ET871, Lubumbashi; 777-200LR

11:30: ET807, Kigali; 737-800

11:30: ET811, Bujumbura; 737 MAX 8

12:00 to 23:59

Most of the remaining 11h 59m of the day is very quiet, with no departures between 17:01 and 21:34. As you can see, the mid-afternoon third wave is growing in importance; it’ll be much busier in a few years. Most of the flights (except Johannesburg) return in the mid-evening, thereby feeding onward intercontinental flights. The evening departures are fed by arrivals from across the vast continent and return the following morning, feeding Ethiopian’s full African and non-African network.

14:15: ET378, Mogadishu; 737-800

14:35: ET354, Juba; Dash-8-Q400

15:20: ET374, Hargeisa; 737-800

15:30: ET342, Mombasa; 737-800

15:30: ET849, Johannesburg; A350-900

15:45: ET334, Entebbe; 737-800

15:45: ET314, Asmara; 737-800

15:55: ET364, Djibouti (via Dire Dawa outbound); 737-700

16:00: ET306, Nairobi; 737 MAX 8

16:00: ET346, Khartoum; 737-800

17:00: ET929, Accra; 737 MAX 8

21:35: ET843, Kinshasa; 737-800

22:00: ET893, Harare; 737-800

22:05: ET452, Cairo; 777-200LR

22:10: ET891, Lusaka; 737-800

22:45: ET821, Kigali; 737-800

22:45: ET338, Entebbe; 737 MAX 8

23:15: ET308, Nairobi; 737 MAX 8

23:30: ET859, Johannesburg; 787-9

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